J.T. Ginn

2026

Athletics· RHP · throws R· 103.0 IP· 3.67 ERA· 1.25 WHIP· 434 BF

Grade

B60th percentile run prevention

StarterPower Arm

Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.

Ginn sits right around league average

The simulator expects 0.442 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 60th percentile of qualified pitchers.

Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size (not raw season stats), so farther out = better.
Percentiles vs. 405 qualified pitchers — 100+ batters faced, starters and relievers pooled.
434 batters faced · data through 2026-07-15.

Plays like…

Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.

Ryan ZeferjahnAngels

Bubba ChandlerPirates

José SuarezAthletics

Graham AshcraftReds

What drives it

Every plate appearance ends one of three ways: a strikeout (0 bases), a walk (1 base), or a ball in play worth its estimated bases.
The bar splits his runs prevented into those pieces, versus the league.
Fewer bases allowed is better. In the table, 100th percentile = best in MLB.

Ball-in-play basesWalk bases

Bases per batter faced

.318

.102

J.T. Ginn

.368

.088

League average

What a replacement arm would have done

over J.T. Ginn's 434 batters faced

182

J.T. Ginn

241

Replacement level

▲ +59 bases better than replacement (allowed 182 vs 241)

	J.T. Ginn	League	Percentile
Bases per ball in play(fewer = better)	.480	.535	60th
Walk rate(fewer = better)	10%	9%	38th
Strikeout rate(higher = better)	21%	22%	43rd

Contact allowed

Batters go to the pull side off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the opposite field.

Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.

Batted balls allowed

Where every ball hit off J.T. Ginn landed this season.
Dots are colored by estimated bases (EB) — pale slate (easy out) to dark teal (home-run territory).
Filled dots are hits; hollow rings are outs — a dark ring in the outfield is a crushed ball his defense ran down.
Hover a dot or a row to link the two; click to watch on Baseball Savant.

hit · out

EBlowhigh

vs Pete Crow-ArmstrongHome run

EV 110 mph · LA 24° · EB 3.8

06/04 vs Cubs

vs Corey SeagerHome run

EV 108 mph · LA 29° · EB 3.7

04/15 vs Rangers

vs Freddie FreemanHome run

EV 105 mph · LA 32° · EB 3.6

07/01 vs Dodgers

vs Colt KeithHome run

EV 103 mph · LA 28° · EB 3.6

07/07 vs Tigers

vs Sam AntonacciHome run

EV 104 mph · LA 33° · EB 3.4

07/12 vs White Sox

Luck check

Escaped damage 5 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.

vs Aaron JudgeOutRobbed

EV 100 mph · LA 32° · EB 3.0

05/30 vs Yankees

Burned 14 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.

vs Jose SiriSingleCheap hit

EV 78 mph · LA -28° · EB 0.1 · xBA .041

06/20 vs Angels

Contact & results against

2026 · 288 balls in play

What kind of contact he gives up, and what it turns into.
Top bar: the contact he allows (grounders, liners, fly balls, pop-ups). The thin bar below is league average.
Below, the rates hitters put up against him — each dot is his mark, the dashed line league median, the teal tick league’s best. Further right is better.
Hover or tab any bar or dot for exact values. Starred rows (*) are approximate.

Ground ballsLine drivesFly ballsPop-ups

GB 49%

LD 20%

FB 20%

PU 10%

League average

BABIP against

.258

lg .285best .155

AVG against*

.221

lg .238best .125

OBP against*

.314

lg .315best .179

SLG against*

.362

lg .384best .133

OPS against*

.676

lg .703best .348

WHIP

1.25

lg 1.30best 0.65

ERA

3.67

lg 3.99best 0.56

* Approximate: sacrifice flies and bunts aren't distinguishable in our data, so every ball in play counts as an at-bat. Slightly off official figures.

Best games

His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.

Date	Opponent	EB	Above replacement
May 18, 2026	Angels	7.4	+6.1
Jun 15, 2026	Pirates	6.4	+6.0
May 7, 2026	Phillies	8.7	+5.3
Jun 9, 2026	Brewers	8.0	+4.6
May 13, 2026	Cardinals	8.5	+4.3

Times through order

Times through the order

career 2024–2026

“Times through the order” = how many times a hitter has faced J.T. Ginn in the same game (1st, 2nd, or 3rd-plus time up).
Pitchers often fade the third time through, as hitters get more looks at their stuff.
Career splits: K% (higher is better), BB% (lower), and EB/PA — contact allowed per plate appearance (lower).
Whiskers show the uncertainty range. The 3rd-plus bucket has the fewest plate appearances, so its wider whiskers are expected.
The dashed line is the league average per bucket, so you can see if his drop-off is steeper or flatter than typical.

Strikeout rate (K%) (higher is better)

Walk rate (BB%) (lower is better)

EB / PA (lower is better)

The third time through, J.T. Ginn allows 0.043 more estimated bases per plate appearance than the first time (0.328 → 0.371) and his strikeout rate falls from 25.8% to 16.1%.

Pooled over 52 games · 969 batters faced · 2024–2026