Nathan Church keeps the strikeouts in check — strikes out less often than 52% of qualified hitters. Walks are scarce, though — only 13% of qualified hitters draw them less often.
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size — not raw season stats — so farther out = better.
Percentiles vs. 463 qualified hitters.
Data through 2026-07-15.
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the hitters whose profile looks most like this one.
Every plate appearance ends one of three ways: a strikeout (0 bases), a walk (1 base), or a ball in play worth its estimated bases.
The bar splits his value into those pieces, versus the league.
More bases is better. In the table, 100th percentile = best in MLB.
Ball-in-play basesWalk bases
Bases per plate appearance
.337
Nathan Church
.351
.084
League average
What a replacement bat would have done
over Nathan Church's 254 plate appearances
99
Nathan Church
92
Replacement level
▲ +7 bases above replacement (created 99 vs 92)
Nathan Church
League
Percentile
Bases per ball in play(higher = better)
.463
.510
16th
Walk rate(higher = better)
5%
8%
13th
Strikeout rate(fewer = better)
21%
23%
52nd
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA)
Dot = shrunk true-talent estimate; bar = 89% credible interval.
Faint diamond = his raw, unshrunk rate against that hand — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy estimate.
Shrunk splits beat raw splits decisively at low PA counts and converge with them as playing time builds — individual platoon gaps need roughly 1,000+ PA vs a hand before the raw number alone can be trusted.
Headline EB/PA (0.384)
vs LHP60 PA0.322
vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.322 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.268 to 0.383, based on 60 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.352 EB/PA.
vs RHP193 PA0.403
vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.403 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.352 to 0.451, based on 193 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.412 EB/PA.
0.2470.3030.3600.4160.473
0.081 EB/PA better vs RHP than vs LHP (shrunk estimate).
89% credible interval: +0.047 to +0.120
How he hits
Hits it to Pull most often, and does the most damage there too.
Best batted balls
Where every ball Nathan Church put in play landed this season.
Dots are colored by estimated bases (EB) — pale slate (easy out) to dark teal (home-run territory).
Filled dots are hits; hollow rings are outs — a dark ring in the outfield is a crushed ball that got caught.
Hover a dot or a row to link the two; click to watch on Baseball Savant.
