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Elite power and walks; lives with the strikeouts.
Esmerlyn Valdez creates bases at an elite clip — better than 90% of qualified hitters. The strikeouts pile up, though — only 2% of qualified hitters whiff more often.
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the hitters whose profile looks most like this one.
Bases per plate appearance
| Esmerlyn Valdez | League | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(higher = better) | .984 | .510 | 90th |
| Walk rate(higher = better) | 10% | 8% | 67th |
| Strikeout rate(fewer = better) | 36% | 23% | 2nd |
vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.607 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.541 to 0.677, based on 33 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.816 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHP rate (0.816) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.564 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.498 to 0.624, based on 71 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.552 EB/PA.
Hits it to Center most often, and does the most damage to Pull.
Robbed once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit that died in a glove.
4 lucky hits — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass.
* Approximate: sacrifice flies and bunts aren't distinguishable in our data, so every ball in play counts as an at-bat. Slightly off official figures.
His best games this season by estimated bases.
| Date | Opponent | EB | Above replacement |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2026 | Phillies | 5.9 | +6.1 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Reds | 6.6 | +5.8 |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Brewers | 6.3 | +4.9 |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Braves | 4.1 | +3.3 |
| May 26, 2026 | Cubs | 3.4 | +2.6 |
