Matt Olson creates bases at an elite clip — better than 98% of qualified hitters. No real holes either — the weakest mark (strikeout rate) sits right around the league average.
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size — not raw season stats — so farther out = better.
Percentiles vs. 463 qualified hitters.
Data through 2026-07-15.
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the hitters whose profile looks most like this one.
Every plate appearance ends one of three ways: a strikeout (0 bases), a walk (1 base), or a ball in play worth its estimated bases.
The bar splits his value into those pieces, versus the league.
More bases is better. In the table, 100th percentile = best in MLB.
Ball-in-play basesWalk bases
Bases per plate appearance
.480
.096
Matt Olson
.351
.084
League average
What a replacement bat would have done
over Matt Olson's 416 plate appearances
240
Matt Olson
150
Replacement level
▲ +90 bases above replacement (created 240 vs 150)
Matt Olson
League
Percentile
Bases per ball in play(higher = better)
.729
.510
98th
Walk rate(higher = better)
10%
8%
72nd
Strikeout rate(fewer = better)
24%
23%
41st
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA)
Dot = shrunk true-talent estimate; bar = 89% credible interval.
Faint diamond = his raw, unshrunk rate against that hand — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy estimate.
Shrunk splits beat raw splits decisively at low PA counts and converge with them as playing time builds — individual platoon gaps need roughly 1,000+ PA vs a hand before the raw number alone can be trusted.
Headline EB/PA (0.578)
vs LHP171 PA0.515
vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.515 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.469 to 0.564, based on 171 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.540 EB/PA.
vs RHP227 PA0.597
vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.597 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.553 to 0.641, based on 227 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.623 EB/PA.
0.4490.5020.5550.6080.662
0.082 EB/PA better vs RHP than vs LHP (shrunk estimate).
89% credible interval: +0.047 to +0.118
How he hits
Hits it to Pull most often, and does the most damage there too.
Best batted balls
Where every ball Matt Olson put in play landed this season.
Dots are colored by estimated bases (EB) — pale slate (easy out) to dark teal (home-run territory).
Filled dots are hits; hollow rings are outs — a dark ring in the outfield is a crushed ball that got caught.
Hover a dot or a row to link the two; click to watch on Baseball Savant.
