Reynaldo López

2026

Braves· RHP · throws R· 61.2 IP· 3.50 ERA· 1.26 WHIP· 260 BF

Grade

C44th percentile run prevention

StarterPower Arm

Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.

López has been below average at limiting damage

The simulator expects 0.465 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 44th percentile of qualified pitchers.

Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size (not raw season stats), so farther out = better.
Percentiles vs. 405 qualified pitchers — 100+ batters faced, starters and relievers pooled.
260 batters faced · data through 2026-07-15.

Plays like…

Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.

What drives it

Every plate appearance ends one of three ways: a strikeout (0 bases), a walk (1 base), or a ball in play worth its estimated bases.
The bar splits his runs prevented into those pieces, versus the league.
Fewer bases allowed is better. In the table, 100th percentile = best in MLB.

Ball-in-play basesWalk bases

Bases per batter faced

.357

.099

Reynaldo López

.368

.088

League average

What a replacement arm would have done

over Reynaldo López's 260 batters faced

119

Reynaldo López

144

Replacement level

▲ +26 bases better than replacement (allowed 119 vs 144)

	Reynaldo López	League	Percentile
Bases per ball in play(fewer = better)	.522	.535	44th
Walk rate(fewer = better)	10%	9%	43rd
Strikeout rate(higher = better)	21%	22%	52nd

Contact allowed

Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.

Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.

Batted balls allowed

Where every ball hit off Reynaldo López landed this season.
Dots are colored by estimated bases (EB) — pale slate (easy out) to dark teal (home-run territory).
Filled dots are hits; hollow rings are outs — a dark ring in the outfield is a crushed ball his defense ran down.
Hover a dot or a row to link the two; click to watch on Baseball Savant.

hit · out

EBlowhigh

vs Ian HappHome run

EV 108 mph · LA 28° · EB 3.9

05/14 vs Cubs

vs Jordan LawlarHome run

EV 106 mph · LA 28° · EB 3.9

04/02 vs D-backs

vs Salvador PerezHome run

EV 106 mph · LA 27° · EB 3.8

03/28 vs Royals

vs Lars NootbaarHome run

EV 109 mph · LA 25° · EB 3.7

07/11 vs Cardinals

vs Andy PagesHome run

EV 107 mph · LA 22° · EB 3.5

05/09 vs Dodgers

Luck check

Escaped damage 2 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.

vs Kerry CarpenterOutRobbed

EV 101 mph · LA 23° · EB 1.9

04/29 vs Tigers

Burned 6 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.

vs Geraldo PerdomoDoubleCheap hit

EV 88 mph · LA 1° · EB 0.1 · xBA .107

04/02 vs D-backs

Contact & results against

2026 · 178 balls in play

What kind of contact he gives up, and what it turns into.
Top bar: the contact he allows (grounders, liners, fly balls, pop-ups). The thin bar below is league average.
Below, the rates hitters put up against him — each dot is his mark, the dashed line league median, the teal tick league’s best. Further right is better.
Hover or tab any bar or dot for exact values. Starred rows (*) are approximate.

Ground ballsLine drivesFly ballsPop-ups

GB 41%

LD 25%

FB 24%

PU 10%

League average

BABIP against

.265

lg .285best .155

AVG against*

.229

lg .238best .125

OBP against*

.305

lg .315best .179

SLG against*

.394

lg .384best .133

OPS against*

.699

lg .703best .348

WHIP

1.26

lg 1.30best 0.65

ERA

3.50

lg 3.99best 0.56

* Approximate: sacrifice flies and bunts aren't distinguishable in our data, so every ball in play counts as an at-bat. Slightly off official figures.

Best games

His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.

Date	Opponent	EB	Above replacement
Jul 1, 2026	Cardinals	4.3	+4.7
Jul 6, 2026	Mets	4.9	+4.2
Apr 2, 2026	D-backs	6.8	+3.3
Apr 7, 2026	Angels	5.5	+3.2
Jun 21, 2026	Brewers	1.6	+3.0

Times through order

Times through the order

career 2022–2026

“Times through the order” = how many times a hitter has faced Reynaldo López in the same game (1st, 2nd, or 3rd-plus time up).
Pitchers often fade the third time through, as hitters get more looks at their stuff.
Career splits: K% (higher is better), BB% (lower), and EB/PA — contact allowed per plate appearance (lower).
Whiskers show the uncertainty range. The 3rd-plus bucket has the fewest plate appearances, so its wider whiskers are expected.
The dashed line is the league average per bucket, so you can see if his drop-off is steeper or flatter than typical.

Strikeout rate (K%) (higher is better)

Walk rate (BB%) (lower is better)

EB / PA (lower is better)

The third time through, Reynaldo López allows 0.121 more estimated bases per plate appearance than the first time (0.309 → 0.429) and his strikeout rate falls from 26.8% to 22.2%.

Pooled over 177 games · 1,353 batters faced · 2022–2026