Holmes is comfortably above average at preventing runs
The simulator expects 0.410 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 83rd percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is HR Suppression (89th percentile). The soft spot is Quiet Contact (16th percentile).
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size (not raw season stats), so farther out = better.
Percentiles vs. 405 qualified pitchers — 100+ batters faced, starters and relievers pooled.
215 batters faced · data through 2026-07-15.
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
What kind of contact he gives up, and what it turns into.
Top bar: the contact he allows (grounders, liners, fly balls, pop-ups). The thin bar below is league average.
Below, the rates hitters put up against him — each dot is his mark, the dashed line league median, the teal tick league’s best. Further right is better.
Hover or tab any bar or dot for exact values. Starred rows (*) are approximate.
Ground ballsLine drivesFly ballsPop-ups
GB 58%
LD 19%
FB 18%
League average
BABIP against
.252
lg .285best .155
AVG against*
.205
lg .238best .125
OBP against*
.276
lg .315best .179
SLG against*
.292
lg .384best .133
OPS against*
.568
lg .703best .348
WHIP
1.10
lg 1.30best 0.65
ERA
2.39
lg 3.99best 0.56
* Approximate: sacrifice flies and bunts aren't distinguishable in our data, so every ball in play counts as an at-bat. Slightly off official figures.
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
“Times through the order” = how many times a hitter has faced Clay Holmes in the same game (1st, 2nd, or 3rd-plus time up).
Pitchers often fade the third time through, as hitters get more looks at their stuff.
Career splits: K% (higher is better), BB% (lower), and EB/PA — contact allowed per plate appearance (lower).
Whiskers show the uncertainty range. The 3rd-plus bucket has the fewest plate appearances, so its wider whiskers are expected.
The dashed line is the league average per bucket, so you can see if his drop-off is steeper or flatter than typical.
Strikeout rate (K%) (higher is better)
Walk rate (BB%) (lower is better)
EB / PA (lower is better)
The third time through, Clay Holmes allows 0.105 more estimated bases per plate appearance than the first time (0.254 → 0.359) and his strikeout rate falls from 24.2% to 14.2%.
Pooled over 255 games · 1,790 batters faced · 2022–2026
Trends
Multi-season trends · Clay Holmes
xEB/PA
Expected bases allowed per plate appearance — lower = stronger run prevention
HR allowed%
Home runs allowed per plate appearance — lower = better
BB%
Walks per plate appearance — lower = better command
K%
Strikeouts per plate appearance — higher = more swing-and-miss
