Matt Shaw keeps the strikeouts in check — strikes out less often than 74% of qualified hitters. The contact is soft, though — only 21% of qualified hitters hit the ball with less authority.
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size — not raw season stats — so farther out = better.
Percentiles vs. 463 qualified hitters.
Data through 2026-07-15.
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the hitters whose profile looks most like this one.
Every plate appearance ends one of three ways: a strikeout (0 bases), a walk (1 base), or a ball in play worth its estimated bases.
The bar splits his value into those pieces, versus the league.
More bases is better. In the table, 100th percentile = best in MLB.
Ball-in-play basesWalk bases
Bases per plate appearance
.339
.082
Matt Shaw
.351
.084
League average
What a replacement bat would have done
over Matt Shaw's 147 plate appearances
62
Matt Shaw
53
Replacement level
▲ +9 bases above replacement (created 62 vs 53)
Matt Shaw
League
Percentile
Bases per ball in play(higher = better)
.474
.510
36th
Walk rate(higher = better)
8%
8%
49th
Strikeout rate(fewer = better)
18%
23%
74th
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA)
Dot = shrunk true-talent estimate; bar = 89% credible interval.
Faint diamond = his raw, unshrunk rate against that hand — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy estimate.
Shrunk splits beat raw splits decisively at low PA counts and converge with them as playing time builds — individual platoon gaps need roughly 1,000+ PA vs a hand before the raw number alone can be trusted.
Headline EB/PA (0.402)
vs LHP68 PA0.426
vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.426 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.365 to 0.485, based on 68 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.455 EB/PA.
vs RHP79 PA0.390
vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.390 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.333 to 0.447, based on 79 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.428 EB/PA.
0.3140.3620.4090.4560.504
0.035 EB/PA better vs LHP than vs RHP (shrunk estimate).
89% credible interval: -0.000 to +0.072
That interval crosses zero, so the model can’t confidently say which side he’s actually better against.
How he hits
Hits it to Pull most often, and does the most damage there too.
Best batted balls
Where every ball Matt Shaw put in play landed this season.
Dots are colored by estimated bases (EB) — pale slate (easy out) to dark teal (home-run territory).
Filled dots are hits; hollow rings are outs — a dark ring in the outfield is a crushed ball that got caught.
Hover a dot or a row to link the two; click to watch on Baseball Savant.
