Nothing stands out yet — even Graham Pauley's best mark (strikeout rate) beats only 33% of qualified hitters. The contact is soft — only 10% of qualified hitters hit the ball with less authority. Early-season read — only 97 plate appearances so far.
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size — not raw season stats — so farther out = better.
Percentiles vs. 463 qualified hitters.
Data through 2026-07-15.
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the hitters whose profile looks most like this one.
Every plate appearance ends one of three ways: a strikeout (0 bases), a walk (1 base), or a ball in play worth its estimated bases.
The bar splits his value into those pieces, versus the league.
More bases is better. In the table, 100th percentile = best in MLB.
Ball-in-play basesWalk bases
Bases per plate appearance
.325
Graham Pauley
.351
.084
League average
What a replacement bat would have done
over Graham Pauley's 97 plate appearances
37
Graham Pauley
35
Replacement level
▲ +2 bases above replacement (created 37 vs 35)
Graham Pauley
League
Percentile
Bases per ball in play(higher = better)
.457
.510
17th
Walk rate(higher = better)
5%
8%
18th
Strikeout rate(fewer = better)
24%
23%
33rd
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA)
Dot = shrunk true-talent estimate; bar = 89% credible interval.
Faint diamond = his raw, unshrunk rate against that hand — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy estimate.
Shrunk splits beat raw splits decisively at low PA counts and converge with them as playing time builds — individual platoon gaps need roughly 1,000+ PA vs a hand before the raw number alone can be trusted.
Headline EB/PA (0.371)
vs LHP6 PA0.306
vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.306 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.235 to 0.376, based on 6 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.117 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHP rate (0.117) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHP83 PA0.391
vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.391 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.327 to 0.454, based on 83 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.413 EB/PA.
0.2090.2770.3450.4120.480
0.085 EB/PA better vs RHP than vs LHP (shrunk estimate).
89% credible interval: +0.046 to +0.123
How he hits
Hits it to Pull most often, and does the most damage there too.
Best batted balls
Where every ball Graham Pauley put in play landed this season.
Dots are colored by estimated bases (EB) — pale slate (easy out) to dark teal (home-run territory).
Filled dots are hits; hollow rings are outs — a dark ring in the outfield is a crushed ball that got caught.
Hover a dot or a row to link the two; click to watch on Baseball Savant.
