Jarren Duran makes solid contact more often than 62% of qualified hitters. The strikeouts pile up, though — only 21% of qualified hitters whiff more often.
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size — not raw season stats — so farther out = better.
Percentiles vs. 463 qualified hitters.
Data through 2026-07-15.
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the hitters whose profile looks most like this one.
Every plate appearance ends one of three ways: a strikeout (0 bases), a walk (1 base), or a ball in play worth its estimated bases.
The bar splits his value into those pieces, versus the league.
More bases is better. In the table, 100th percentile = best in MLB.
Ball-in-play basesWalk bases
Bases per plate appearance
.326
.072
Jarren Duran
.351
.084
League average
What a replacement bat would have done
over Jarren Duran's 376 plate appearances
150
Jarren Duran
136
Replacement level
▲ +14 bases above replacement (created 150 vs 136)
Jarren Duran
League
Percentile
Bases per ball in play(higher = better)
.536
.510
52nd
Walk rate(higher = better)
7%
8%
32nd
Strikeout rate(fewer = better)
30%
23%
21st
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA)
Dot = shrunk true-talent estimate; bar = 89% credible interval.
Faint diamond = his raw, unshrunk rate against that hand — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy estimate.
Shrunk splits beat raw splits decisively at low PA counts and converge with them as playing time builds — individual platoon gaps need roughly 1,000+ PA vs a hand before the raw number alone can be trusted.
Headline EB/PA (0.436)
vs LHP100 PA0.377
vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.377 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.328 to 0.428, based on 100 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.400 EB/PA.
vs RHP274 PA0.454
vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.454 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.411 to 0.498, based on 274 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.411 EB/PA.
0.3080.3600.4130.4650.518
0.077 EB/PA better vs RHP than vs LHP (shrunk estimate).
89% credible interval: +0.041 to +0.113
How he hits
Hits it to Pull most often, and does the most damage there too.
Best batted balls
Where every ball Jarren Duran put in play landed this season.
Dots are colored by estimated bases (EB) — pale slate (easy out) to dark teal (home-run territory).
Filled dots are hits; hollow rings are outs — a dark ring in the outfield is a crushed ball that got caught.
Hover a dot or a row to link the two; click to watch on Baseball Savant.
