Ezequiel Duran keeps the strikeouts in check — strikes out less often than 48% of qualified hitters. The overall production lags, though — only 19% of qualified hitters create fewer estimated bases per plate appearance.
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size — not raw season stats — so farther out = better.
Percentiles vs. 463 qualified hitters.
Data through 2026-07-15.
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the hitters whose profile looks most like this one.
Every plate appearance ends one of three ways: a strikeout (0 bases), a walk (1 base), or a ball in play worth its estimated bases.
The bar splits his value into those pieces, versus the league.
More bases is better. In the table, 100th percentile = best in MLB.
Ball-in-play basesWalk bases
Bases per plate appearance
.336
.074
Ezequiel Duran
.351
.084
League average
What a replacement bat would have done
over Ezequiel Duran's 325 plate appearances
133
Ezequiel Duran
117
Replacement level
▲ +16 bases above replacement (created 133 vs 117)
Ezequiel Duran
League
Percentile
Bases per ball in play(higher = better)
.488
.510
19th
Walk rate(higher = better)
7%
8%
22nd
Strikeout rate(fewer = better)
23%
23%
48th
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA)
Dot = shrunk true-talent estimate; bar = 89% credible interval.
Faint diamond = his raw, unshrunk rate against that hand — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy estimate.
Shrunk splits beat raw splits decisively at low PA counts and converge with them as playing time builds — individual platoon gaps need roughly 1,000+ PA vs a hand before the raw number alone can be trusted.
Headline EB/PA (0.400)
vs LHP76 PA0.425
vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.425 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.372 to 0.476, based on 76 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.453 EB/PA.
vs RHP246 PA0.388
vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.388 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.341 to 0.433, based on 246 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.404 EB/PA.
0.3250.3660.4080.4500.492
0.037 EB/PA better vs LHP than vs RHP (shrunk estimate).
89% credible interval: +0.003 to +0.075
How he hits
Hits it to Pull most often, and does the most damage there too.
Best batted balls
Where every ball Ezequiel Duran put in play landed this season.
Dots are colored by estimated bases (EB) — pale slate (easy out) to dark teal (home-run territory).
Filled dots are hits; hollow rings are outs — a dark ring in the outfield is a crushed ball that got caught.
Hover a dot or a row to link the two; click to watch on Baseball Savant.
