Gabriel Arias squares the ball up — harder contact than 80% of qualified hitters. The strikeouts pile up, though — only 1% of qualified hitters whiff more often. Early-season read — only 97 plate appearances so far.
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size — not raw season stats — so farther out = better.
Percentiles vs. 463 qualified hitters.
Data through 2026-07-15.
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the hitters whose profile looks most like this one.
Every plate appearance ends one of three ways: a strikeout (0 bases), a walk (1 base), or a ball in play worth its estimated bases.
The bar splits his value into those pieces, versus the league.
More bases is better. In the table, 100th percentile = best in MLB.
Ball-in-play basesWalk bases
Bases per plate appearance
.387
Gabriel Arias
.351
.084
League average
What a replacement bat would have done
over Gabriel Arias's 97 plate appearances
43
Gabriel Arias
35
Replacement level
▲ +8 bases above replacement (created 43 vs 35)
Gabriel Arias
League
Percentile
Bases per ball in play(higher = better)
.736
.510
36th
Walk rate(higher = better)
5%
8%
21st
Strikeout rate(fewer = better)
41%
23%
1st
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA)
Dot = shrunk true-talent estimate; bar = 89% credible interval.
Faint diamond = his raw, unshrunk rate against that hand — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy estimate.
Shrunk splits beat raw splits decisively at low PA counts and converge with them as playing time builds — individual platoon gaps need roughly 1,000+ PA vs a hand before the raw number alone can be trusted.
Headline EB/PA (0.413)
vs LHP34 PA0.430
vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.430 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.365 to 0.498, based on 34 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.247 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHP rate (0.247) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHP63 PA0.404
vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.404 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.342 to 0.466, based on 63 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.542 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHP rate (0.542) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
0.3230.3720.4200.4680.516
0.026 EB/PA better vs LHP than vs RHP (shrunk estimate).
89% credible interval: -0.016 to +0.062
That interval crosses zero, so the model can’t confidently say which side he’s actually better against.
How he hits
Hits it to Pull most often, and does the most damage to Center.
Best batted balls
Where every ball Gabriel Arias put in play landed this season.
Dots are colored by estimated bases (EB) — pale slate (easy out) to dark teal (home-run territory).
Filled dots are hits; hollow rings are outs — a dark ring in the outfield is a crushed ball that got caught.
Hover a dot or a row to link the two; click to watch on Baseball Savant.
