Patrick Bailey makes solid contact more often than 49% of qualified hitters. The overall production lags, though — only 17% of qualified hitters create fewer estimated bases per plate appearance.
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size — not raw season stats — so farther out = better.
Percentiles vs. 463 qualified hitters.
Data through 2026-07-15.
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the hitters whose profile looks most like this one.
Every plate appearance ends one of three ways: a strikeout (0 bases), a walk (1 base), or a ball in play worth its estimated bases.
The bar splits his value into those pieces, versus the league.
More bases is better. In the table, 100th percentile = best in MLB.
Ball-in-play basesWalk bases
Bases per plate appearance
.312
.067
Patrick Bailey
.351
.084
League average
What a replacement bat would have done
over Patrick Bailey's 194 plate appearances
73
Patrick Bailey
70
Replacement level
▲ +3 bases above replacement (created 73 vs 70)
Patrick Bailey
League
Percentile
Bases per ball in play(higher = better)
.465
.510
17th
Walk rate(higher = better)
7%
8%
32nd
Strikeout rate(fewer = better)
26%
23%
29th
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA)
Dot = shrunk true-talent estimate; bar = 89% credible interval.
Faint diamond = his raw, unshrunk rate against that hand — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy estimate.
Shrunk splits beat raw splits decisively at low PA counts and converge with them as playing time builds — individual platoon gaps need roughly 1,000+ PA vs a hand before the raw number alone can be trusted.
Patrick Bailey switch-hits — he can choose the platoon-advantaged side almost every plate appearance, so a small gap here is expected. It is not missing data or a modeling error.
Headline EB/PA (0.381)
vs LHP32 PA0.376
vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.376 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.314 to 0.433, based on 32 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.387 EB/PA.
vs RHP158 PA0.384
vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.384 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.332 to 0.437, based on 158 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.373 EB/PA.
0.2990.3380.3760.4140.452
0.008 EB/PA better vs RHP than vs LHP (shrunk estimate).
89% credible interval: -0.032 to +0.048
That interval crosses zero, so the model can’t confidently say which side he’s actually better against.
How he hits
Hits it to Pull most often, and does the most damage to Center.
Best batted balls
Where every ball Patrick Bailey put in play landed this season.
Dots are colored by estimated bases (EB) — pale slate (easy out) to dark teal (home-run territory).
Filled dots are hits; hollow rings are outs — a dark ring in the outfield is a crushed ball that got caught.
Hover a dot or a row to link the two; click to watch on Baseball Savant.
