Works counts and puts the ball in play; modest slug.
One of the league's most dangerous bats
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. rarely strikes out — less often than 95% of qualified hitters. And there isn't a real weakness in the profile — even the worst mark beats 80% of qualified hitters.
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size — not raw season stats — so farther out = better.
Percentiles vs. 463 qualified hitters.
Data through 2026-07-15.
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the hitters whose profile looks most like this one.
Every plate appearance ends one of three ways: a strikeout (0 bases), a walk (1 base), or a ball in play worth its estimated bases.
The bar splits his value into those pieces, versus the league.
More bases is better. In the table, 100th percentile = best in MLB.
Ball-in-play basesWalk bases
Bases per plate appearance
.346
.108
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
.351
.084
League average
What a replacement bat would have done
over Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s 387 plate appearances
176
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
140
Replacement level
▲ +36 bases above replacement (created 176 vs 140)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
League
Percentile
Bases per ball in play(higher = better)
.459
.510
90th
Walk rate(higher = better)
11%
8%
80th
Strikeout rate(fewer = better)
13%
23%
95th
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA)
Dot = shrunk true-talent estimate; bar = 89% credible interval.
Faint diamond = his raw, unshrunk rate against that hand — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy estimate.
Shrunk splits beat raw splits decisively at low PA counts and converge with them as playing time builds — individual platoon gaps need roughly 1,000+ PA vs a hand before the raw number alone can be trusted.
Headline EB/PA (0.482)
vs LHP84 PA0.514
vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.514 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.462 to 0.563, based on 84 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.578 EB/PA.
vs RHP299 PA0.466
vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.466 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.424 to 0.512, based on 299 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.436 EB/PA.
0.4070.4500.4930.5360.579
0.047 EB/PA better vs LHP than vs RHP (shrunk estimate).
89% credible interval: +0.013 to +0.088
How he hits
Hits it to Pull most often, and does the most damage to Oppo.
Best batted balls
Where every ball Vladimir Guerrero Jr. put in play landed this season.
Dots are colored by estimated bases (EB) — pale slate (easy out) to dark teal (home-run territory).
Filled dots are hits; hollow rings are outs — a dark ring in the outfield is a crushed ball that got caught.
Hover a dot or a row to link the two; click to watch on Baseball Savant.
