Nathan Lukes rarely strikes out — less often than 87% of qualified hitters. The contact is soft, though — only 16% of qualified hitters hit the ball with less authority.
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size — not raw season stats — so farther out = better.
Percentiles vs. 463 qualified hitters.
Data through 2026-07-15.
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the hitters whose profile looks most like this one.
Every plate appearance ends one of three ways: a strikeout (0 bases), a walk (1 base), or a ball in play worth its estimated bases.
The bar splits his value into those pieces, versus the league.
More bases is better. In the table, 100th percentile = best in MLB.
Ball-in-play basesWalk bases
Bases per plate appearance
.367
.055
Nathan Lukes
.351
.084
League average
What a replacement bat would have done
over Nathan Lukes's 219 plate appearances
92
Nathan Lukes
79
Replacement level
▲ +13 bases above replacement (created 92 vs 79)
Nathan Lukes
League
Percentile
Bases per ball in play(higher = better)
.473
.510
56th
Walk rate(higher = better)
5%
8%
21st
Strikeout rate(fewer = better)
15%
23%
87th
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA)
Dot = shrunk true-talent estimate; bar = 89% credible interval.
Faint diamond = his raw, unshrunk rate against that hand — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy estimate.
Shrunk splits beat raw splits decisively at low PA counts and converge with them as playing time builds — individual platoon gaps need roughly 1,000+ PA vs a hand before the raw number alone can be trusted.
Headline EB/PA (0.437)
vs LHP34 PA0.372
vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.372 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.313 to 0.430, based on 34 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.324 EB/PA.
vs RHP182 PA0.457
vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.457 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.404 to 0.508, based on 182 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.468 EB/PA.
0.2900.3500.4100.4710.531
0.085 EB/PA better vs RHP than vs LHP (shrunk estimate).
89% credible interval: +0.049 to +0.124
How he hits
Hits it to Pull most often, and does the most damage there too.
Best batted balls
Where every ball Nathan Lukes put in play landed this season.
Dots are colored by estimated bases (EB) — pale slate (easy out) to dark teal (home-run territory).
Filled dots are hits; hollow rings are outs — a dark ring in the outfield is a crushed ball that got caught.
Hover a dot or a row to link the two; click to watch on Baseball Savant.
