Nathaniel Lowe walks at a near-elite clip — better than 85% of qualified hitters. The strikeouts pile up, though — only 32% of qualified hitters whiff more often.
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size — not raw season stats — so farther out = better.
Percentiles vs. 463 qualified hitters.
Data through 2026-07-15.
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the hitters whose profile looks most like this one.
Every plate appearance ends one of three ways: a strikeout (0 bases), a walk (1 base), or a ball in play worth its estimated bases.
The bar splits his value into those pieces, versus the league.
More bases is better. In the table, 100th percentile = best in MLB.
Ball-in-play basesWalk bases
Bases per plate appearance
.404
.116
Nathaniel Lowe
.351
.084
League average
What a replacement bat would have done
over Nathaniel Lowe's 224 plate appearances
117
Nathaniel Lowe
81
Replacement level
▲ +36 bases above replacement (created 117 vs 81)
Nathaniel Lowe
League
Percentile
Bases per ball in play(higher = better)
.681
.510
84th
Walk rate(higher = better)
12%
8%
85th
Strikeout rate(fewer = better)
27%
23%
32nd
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA)
Dot = shrunk true-talent estimate; bar = 89% credible interval.
Faint diamond = his raw, unshrunk rate against that hand — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy estimate.
Shrunk splits beat raw splits decisively at low PA counts and converge with them as playing time builds — individual platoon gaps need roughly 1,000+ PA vs a hand before the raw number alone can be trusted.
Headline EB/PA (0.504)
vs LHP19 PA0.434
vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.434 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.373 to 0.495, based on 19 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.184 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHP rate (0.184) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHP206 PA0.525
vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.525 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.475 to 0.576, based on 206 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.544 EB/PA.
0.3480.4110.4740.5370.600
0.091 EB/PA better vs RHP than vs LHP (shrunk estimate).
89% credible interval: +0.052 to +0.131
How he hits
Hits it to Pull most often, and does the most damage there too.
Best batted balls
Where every ball Nathaniel Lowe put in play landed this season.
Dots are colored by estimated bases (EB) — pale slate (easy out) to dark teal (home-run territory).
Filled dots are hits; hollow rings are outs — a dark ring in the outfield is a crushed ball that got caught.
Hover a dot or a row to link the two; click to watch on Baseball Savant.
