Nico Hoerner rarely strikes out — less often than 99% of qualified hitters. The contact is soft, though — only 11% of qualified hitters hit the ball with less authority.
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size — not raw season stats — so farther out = better.
Percentiles vs. 463 qualified hitters.
Data through 2026-07-15.
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the hitters whose profile looks most like this one.
Every plate appearance ends one of three ways: a strikeout (0 bases), a walk (1 base), or a ball in play worth its estimated bases.
The bar splits his value into those pieces, versus the league.
More bases is better. In the table, 100th percentile = best in MLB.
Ball-in-play basesWalk bases
Bases per plate appearance
.299
.086
Nico Hoerner
.351
.084
League average
What a replacement bat would have done
over Nico Hoerner's 420 plate appearances
162
Nico Hoerner
151
Replacement level
▲ +10 bases above replacement (created 162 vs 151)
Nico Hoerner
League
Percentile
Bases per ball in play(higher = better)
.366
.510
40th
Walk rate(higher = better)
9%
8%
42nd
Strikeout rate(fewer = better)
8%
23%
99th
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA)
Dot = shrunk true-talent estimate; bar = 89% credible interval.
Faint diamond = his raw, unshrunk rate against that hand — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy estimate.
Shrunk splits beat raw splits decisively at low PA counts and converge with them as playing time builds — individual platoon gaps need roughly 1,000+ PA vs a hand before the raw number alone can be trusted.
Headline EB/PA (0.422)
vs LHP118 PA0.448
vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.448 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.400 to 0.496, based on 118 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.435 EB/PA.
vs RHP299 PA0.410
vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.410 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.367 to 0.454, based on 299 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.383 EB/PA.
0.3520.3920.4320.4720.512
0.038 EB/PA better vs LHP than vs RHP (shrunk estimate).
89% credible interval: +0.002 to +0.072
How he hits
Hits it to Pull most often, and does the most damage to Oppo.
Best batted balls
Where every ball Nico Hoerner put in play landed this season.
Dots are colored by estimated bases (EB) — pale slate (easy out) to dark teal (home-run territory).
Filled dots are hits; hollow rings are outs — a dark ring in the outfield is a crushed ball that got caught.
Hover a dot or a row to link the two; click to watch on Baseball Savant.
