Works counts and puts the ball in play; modest slug.
A genuinely productive bat
Josh Naylor rarely strikes out — less often than 95% of qualified hitters. No real holes either — the weakest mark (walk rate) sits right around the league average.
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size — not raw season stats — so farther out = better.
Percentiles vs. 463 qualified hitters.
Data through 2026-07-15.
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the hitters whose profile looks most like this one.
Every plate appearance ends one of three ways: a strikeout (0 bases), a walk (1 base), or a ball in play worth its estimated bases.
The bar splits his value into those pieces, versus the league.
More bases is better. In the table, 100th percentile = best in MLB.
Ball-in-play basesWalk bases
Bases per plate appearance
.372
.077
Josh Naylor
.351
.084
League average
What a replacement bat would have done
over Josh Naylor's 389 plate appearances
175
Josh Naylor
140
Replacement level
▲ +34 bases above replacement (created 175 vs 140)
Josh Naylor
League
Percentile
Bases per ball in play(higher = better)
.474
.510
89th
Walk rate(higher = better)
8%
8%
43rd
Strikeout rate(fewer = better)
13%
23%
95th
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA)
Dot = shrunk true-talent estimate; bar = 89% credible interval.
Faint diamond = his raw, unshrunk rate against that hand — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy estimate.
Shrunk splits beat raw splits decisively at low PA counts and converge with them as playing time builds — individual platoon gaps need roughly 1,000+ PA vs a hand before the raw number alone can be trusted.
Headline EB/PA (0.495)
vs LHP108 PA0.435
vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.435 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.386 to 0.484, based on 108 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.428 EB/PA.
vs RHP278 PA0.514
vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.514 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.470 to 0.556, based on 278 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.467 EB/PA.
0.3660.4190.4710.5240.576
0.079 EB/PA better vs RHP than vs LHP (shrunk estimate).
89% credible interval: +0.042 to +0.113
How he hits
Hits it to Pull most often, and does the most damage there too.
Best batted balls
Where every ball Josh Naylor put in play landed this season.
Dots are colored by estimated bases (EB) — pale slate (easy out) to dark teal (home-run territory).
Filled dots are hits; hollow rings are outs — a dark ring in the outfield is a crushed ball that got caught.
Hover a dot or a row to link the two; click to watch on Baseball Savant.
