Works counts and puts the ball in play; modest slug.
Soft contact is the story so far
Jake Fraley creates bases at a better-than-most clip — better than 73% of qualified hitters. The contact is soft, though — only 6% of qualified hitters hit the ball with less authority. Early-season read — only 90 plate appearances so far.
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size — not raw season stats — so farther out = better.
Percentiles vs. 463 qualified hitters.
Data through 2026-07-15.
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the hitters whose profile looks most like this one.
Every plate appearance ends one of three ways: a strikeout (0 bases), a walk (1 base), or a ball in play worth its estimated bases.
The bar splits his value into those pieces, versus the league.
More bases is better. In the table, 100th percentile = best in MLB.
Ball-in-play basesWalk bases
Bases per plate appearance
.384
.089
Jake Fraley
.351
.084
League average
What a replacement bat would have done
over Jake Fraley's 90 plate appearances
43
Jake Fraley
32
Replacement level
▲ +10 bases above replacement (created 43 vs 32)
Jake Fraley
League
Percentile
Bases per ball in play(higher = better)
.606
.510
73rd
Walk rate(higher = better)
9%
8%
69th
Strikeout rate(fewer = better)
28%
23%
39th
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA)
Dot = shrunk true-talent estimate; bar = 89% credible interval.
Faint diamond = his raw, unshrunk rate against that hand — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy estimate.
Shrunk splits beat raw splits decisively at low PA counts and converge with them as playing time builds — individual platoon gaps need roughly 1,000+ PA vs a hand before the raw number alone can be trusted.
Headline EB/PA (0.472)
vs LHP10 PA0.407
vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.407 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.336 to 0.476, based on 10 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.279 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHP rate (0.279) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHP80 PA0.492
vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.492 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.432 to 0.558, based on 80 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.497 EB/PA.
0.3090.3780.4470.5160.585
0.085 EB/PA better vs RHP than vs LHP (shrunk estimate).
89% credible interval: +0.047 to +0.124
How he hits
Hits it to Pull most often, and does the most damage there too.
Best batted balls
Where every ball Jake Fraley put in play landed this season.
Dots are colored by estimated bases (EB) — pale slate (easy out) to dark teal (home-run territory).
Filled dots are hits; hollow rings are outs — a dark ring in the outfield is a crushed ball that got caught.
Hover a dot or a row to link the two; click to watch on Baseball Savant.
