Rob Refsnyder creates bases at a league-average clip — better than 52% of qualified hitters. The strikeouts pile up, though — only 26% of qualified hitters whiff more often.
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size — not raw season stats — so farther out = better.
Percentiles vs. 463 qualified hitters.
Data through 2026-07-15.
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the hitters whose profile looks most like this one.
Every plate appearance ends one of three ways: a strikeout (0 bases), a walk (1 base), or a ball in play worth its estimated bases.
The bar splits his value into those pieces, versus the league.
More bases is better. In the table, 100th percentile = best in MLB.
Ball-in-play basesWalk bases
Bases per plate appearance
.251
.059
Rob Refsnyder
.351
.084
League average
What a replacement bat would have done
over Rob Refsnyder's 119 plate appearances
37
Rob Refsnyder
43
Replacement level
▼ −6 bases below replacement (created 37 vs 43)
Rob Refsnyder
League
Percentile
Bases per ball in play(higher = better)
.393
.510
52nd
Walk rate(higher = better)
6%
8%
36th
Strikeout rate(fewer = better)
27%
23%
26th
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA)
Dot = shrunk true-talent estimate; bar = 89% credible interval.
Faint diamond = his raw, unshrunk rate against that hand — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy estimate.
Shrunk splits beat raw splits decisively at low PA counts and converge with them as playing time builds — individual platoon gaps need roughly 1,000+ PA vs a hand before the raw number alone can be trusted.
Headline EB/PA (0.406)
vs LHP98 PA0.426
vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.426 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.362 to 0.488, based on 98 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.355 EB/PA.
vs RHP21 PA0.396
vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.396 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.334 to 0.460, based on 21 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.243 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHP rate (0.243) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
0.3150.3630.4110.4590.507
0.029 EB/PA better vs LHP than vs RHP (shrunk estimate).
89% credible interval: -0.010 to +0.065
That interval crosses zero, so the model can’t confidently say which side he’s actually better against.
How he hits
Hits it to Pull most often, and does the most damage there too.
Best batted balls
Where every ball Rob Refsnyder put in play landed this season.
Dots are colored by estimated bases (EB) — pale slate (easy out) to dark teal (home-run territory).
Filled dots are hits; hollow rings are outs — a dark ring in the outfield is a crushed ball that got caught.
Hover a dot or a row to link the two; click to watch on Baseball Savant.
