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One moment while the latest numbers come in.
Works counts and puts the ball in play; modest slug.
Carson Kelly rarely strikes out — less often than 78% of qualified hitters. No real holes either — the weakest mark (hard-hit rate) sits right around the league average.
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the hitters whose profile looks most like this one.
Bases per plate appearance
| Carson Kelly | League | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(higher = better) | .486 | .510 | 60th |
| Walk rate(higher = better) | 11% | 8% | 76th |
| Strikeout rate(fewer = better) | 17% | 23% | 78th |
vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.494 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.437 to 0.549, based on 93 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.576 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHP rate (0.576) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.448 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.396 to 0.498, based on 154 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.408 EB/PA.
Hits it to Pull most often, and does the most damage there too.
Robbed once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit that died in a glove.
7 lucky hits — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass.
* Approximate: sacrifice flies and bunts aren't distinguishable in our data, so every ball in play counts as an at-bat. Slightly off official figures.
His best games this season by estimated bases.
Trending up: contact · Trending down: power
Estimated bases per plate appearance — higher = more offensive value
Home runs per plate appearance — higher = more power
Walks per plate appearance — higher = more plate discipline
Strikeouts per plate appearance — lower = better contact
