Nolan Arenado rarely strikes out — less often than 79% of qualified hitters. The contact is soft, though — only 22% of qualified hitters hit the ball with less authority.
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size — not raw season stats — so farther out = better.
Percentiles vs. 463 qualified hitters.
Data through 2026-07-15.
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the hitters whose profile looks most like this one.
Every plate appearance ends one of three ways: a strikeout (0 bases), a walk (1 base), or a ball in play worth its estimated bases.
The bar splits his value into those pieces, versus the league.
More bases is better. In the table, 100th percentile = best in MLB.
Ball-in-play basesWalk bases
Bases per plate appearance
.355
.084
Nolan Arenado
.351
.084
League average
What a replacement bat would have done
over Nolan Arenado's 347 plate appearances
152
Nolan Arenado
125
Replacement level
▲ +27 bases above replacement (created 152 vs 125)
Nolan Arenado
League
Percentile
Bases per ball in play(higher = better)
.520
.510
68th
Walk rate(higher = better)
8%
8%
41st
Strikeout rate(fewer = better)
21%
23%
79th
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA)
Dot = shrunk true-talent estimate; bar = 89% credible interval.
Faint diamond = his raw, unshrunk rate against that hand — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy estimate.
Shrunk splits beat raw splits decisively at low PA counts and converge with them as playing time builds — individual platoon gaps need roughly 1,000+ PA vs a hand before the raw number alone can be trusted.
Headline EB/PA (0.447)
vs LHP83 PA0.473
vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.473 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.423 to 0.525, based on 83 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.511 EB/PA.
vs RHP260 PA0.434
vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.434 EB/PA, 89% credible interval 0.388 to 0.478, based on 260 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.444 EB/PA.
0.3720.4140.4570.4990.542
0.039 EB/PA better vs LHP than vs RHP (shrunk estimate).
89% credible interval: +0.003 to +0.075
How he hits
Hits it to Pull most often, and does the most damage there too.
Best batted balls
Where every ball Nolan Arenado put in play landed this season.
Dots are colored by estimated bases (EB) — pale slate (easy out) to dark teal (home-run territory).
Filled dots are hits; hollow rings are outs — a dark ring in the outfield is a crushed ball that got caught.
Hover a dot or a row to link the two; click to watch on Baseball Savant.
